Archive for month: August, 2016
Today the Fed Minutes were released. Could you tell?
The SPX sold off and then recovered the 10sma.
Read MoreFed Minutes are released today. We have seen a few sideways moves in various sectors, maybe this will be a catalyst for a directional move.
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SPX - If you re not long or short, don't jump the gun. After a long consolidation, the move can be prolonged, and I have actually been expecting a dip into a dcl. I dont think that the early Aug dip on day 25 was enough.
Read MoreNot much has changed since the weekend report, and we are still seeing once semi-ugly charts becoming diamonds in the rough. Let's review...
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SPX - I personally took a long trade after calling the ICL in June ( And pointing out the 3 white soldiers very bullish pattern), I didn't stay long during the long sideways move started getting drawn out. I still expect a dip soon into a dcl, though this break out does have an occasional pop higher out of the sideways consolidation. I think you are looking at 1-2-3-4-5 completing for now. It may become a buy the dip in the future.
Read MoreThe past few weeks of trading have been very good. Active traders have been able to find set up after set up, especially in Miners and now Energy. Some that Bought Miners in late May and Early June are still reaping rewards, and we have been looking at Energy trades for the past 2 weeks too. I am just a little torn about what I am seeing in some areas. For example, The General Markets broke to new highs and consolidated, but the VIX is very low. Also I've mentioned the lack of follow through in Golds Pop at the open for the last 3 days, etc. Lets go through our weekend update and review our weeks activity.
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SPX - After a long sideways consolidation, we had a pop and basically more consolidation.
The Markets should have a strong move after such a long consolidation, but so far they are just continuing sideways and the VIX is at a point that usually ushers in a temporary top. Cycle-wise, we are due for a DCL soon, so I'd expect that we get a drop soon.
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SPX WKLY - That drop could back test the break out or the 10ma.
Read MoreI wanted to share a thought on Gold, Miners, and Oil
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WTIC - Oil remained bullish with the bullish follow through on Day 6. There may be resistance at the 50sma, but so far this looks good.
Read MoreWe were expecting the start of a pull back, so I posted this NASDAQ chart along with the Vix and a few other charts
Now lets look at the latest developments...
Read MoreAlong with our market review, I want to discuss some of the selling we saw in Oil and Energy stocks Tuesday. What are we looking for in the pull back that we see? Should we be scooping them up, or not? Lets review our markets...
Read MoreI am seeing step by step progress in the areas that we discussed in the weekend report, so I am going to go right there.
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This was my weekly Oil chart
Read MoreAnd the good news is, I see quite a few bears falling asleep again. Our trading has been fantastic in 2016, especially in the beaten down Precious Metals sector, Commodities like Steel and Aluminum stocks did well, and Oil and Energy. The bears had attacked these sectors for quite a while, but now it seems that when one sector runs strongly and then gets a little tired, another one that was selling off begins perking up. That seemingly bearish selling fades and the baby bear goes to sleep, allowing us to do some sector rotation in our trading.
This weekend we'll discuss which bears look to be calling it a day, and also review Gold, Silver, and Miners. We should discuss what happened Friday and whether it is the start of something big, or just a little noise. lets review...
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SPX - We've been watching this constructive consolidation for a while. This was the Aug 1st chart.
SPX - The Jobs report gave it the needed boost to put any thoughts of a bearish drop to sleep for a while. The dip 3 days ago was likely a 1/2 cycle low of this daily cycle.
Lets look at the weekly chart ...
Read More The May and June Jobs report numbers came in very low, and it was given an 'F' by many reviewing it. If we get another low number this morning, it will likely be graded an 'F' too. What if the numbers suddenly come in strong? It's probably worth an 'F' too, for 'fudging the numbers'. 🙂
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Today we'll take a look at Oil, Gold, Silver, Miners and some energy stocks that seem to be setting up bullishly.
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